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5000 Years Of Climate Change From Greenland Ice Cores
New York Times Dec 7, 1905
New York Times May 15, 1932
What Is Good Quality Proof?
Here is the Minimum Standard of Proof Required Before Taking Climate Action
It has been known for over 200 years that there is a relationship between the price of wheat and sunspots. William Herschel reported that finding to the Royal Society in 1801. (Herschel, W., 1801, Philosophical Transactions, 91, 265.)
The Sun is a much better short term fit to climate than CO2.
It has recently been shown that there is a good correlation between solar cycle length and climate, as this chart shows.
Notice the dip in both solar and temperature from about 1940-1965. There is no such dip in graphs of CO2.
Graph adapted by Dr. Tim Patterson.from: Friis-Christensen, E., and K. Lassen, Science, 254, 698-700, 1991
The Sun is a much better long term fit to climate than CO2
Here is a long term chart of solar cycle length and temperature as implied by an isotope of Oxygen. Historic CO2 levels do not show any of these ups and downs. Again the sun is a better fit than CO2.
Graph from: Long-term Variations in Solar Activity and their Apparent Effect on the Earth's Climate K.Lassen, Danish Meteorological Institute, Solar-Terrestrial Physics Division, Lyngbyvej,100, DK-2100 Copenhagen (2), Denmark.
http://www.tmgnow.com/repository/solar/lassen1.html
First, A Brief History of Climate Change
New York Times Feb 24, 1895
Things Look Different When You See the Whole History
600 year history -- Today is actually cooler than medieval times
Source: Energy & Environment · Vol. 14, No. 6, 2003, pg 77
The majority of the glacier melting
occurred during the 1930s
Sea Levels have been rising for thousands of years. Lately the rise has slowed down.
Late Carboniferous to Early Permian time (315 mya -- 270 mya) is the only time period
in the last 600 million years when both atmospheric CO2 and temperatures were as
low as they are today (Quaternary Period ).
Temperature after C.R. Scotese http://www.scotese.com/climate.htm
CO2 after R.A. Berner, 2001 (GEOCARB III)
Today is unusually COOL with unusually low CO2
http://www.icecap.us/
http://surfacestations.org/
http://www.co2science.org/
http://www.junkscience.com/
http://www.climateaudit.org/
www.FriendsOfScience.org
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/
http://www.climate-skeptic.com/
http://www.worldclimatereport.com/
Friis-Christensen, E., and K. Lassen, Length of the solar cycle: An indicator of
solar activity closely associated with climate, Science, 254, 698-700, 1991).
Proc. R. Soc. A doi:10.1098/rspa.2006.1773
Henrik Svensmark, Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges - A&G • February 2007 •
Vol. 48
NAS report: www.nap.edu/catalog/11676.html
A note:
Coal is carbon taken out of the atmosphere by plants that ended up buried. Two conclusions
come from this:
1. The earlier atmosphere had much more CO2 than now (and the earth did not turn
into a burnt cinder.)
2. Returning that carbon to the atmosphere will, at most, merely return to the conditions
of an earlier atmosphere. At the least, it will do nothing because of the earth’s
natural negative feedback mechanisms.
New York Times Feb 20, 1969
Washington Post July 9, 1971
Newsweek, April 28, 1975 - The Cooling World
Notice the Dramatic
Graph of COOLING
Just like You See
For WARMING Today.
New York Times May 21, 1975
FACT: FIRST the temperature goes up, THEN CO2 goes up.
At least three careful ice core studies have shown that CO2 starts to rise about 800 years (600-1000 years) after Antarctic temperature during glacial terminations. These terminations are pronounced warming periods that mark the ends of the ice ages that happen every 100,000 years or so.
... All that the lag shows is that CO2 did not cause the first 800 years of warming, out of the 5000 year trend. The other 4200 years of warming could in fact have been caused by CO2, as far as we can tell from this ice core data. (From: realclimate.org/index.php?p=13) (Notice “could in fact have been”? That means that they don’t really know.)
The Famous Temperature Chart that Al Gore used is simply wrong.
Here is what Dr. Wegman, past president of the statistics division of the National Academy of Sciences says about the temperature chart the AL Gore uses. (MBH98 and MBH99 are the scientific papers that created Al Gore’s chart; MM03/05a/05b are the scientific papers that pointed out the errors in MBH98 and MBH99):
In general, we found MBH98 and MBH99 to be somewhat obscure and incomplete ... Normally, one would try to select a calibration dataset that is representative of the entire dataset. The 1902-1995 data is not fully appropriate for calibration and leads to a misuse in principal component analysis. (From: 07142006_Wegman_Report.pdf, page 4 Alternative source)
The criticism in MM03/05a/05b pointed out a number of flaws such as:
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You can take red noise and put it into the algorithm used in MBH98 and get the famous hockey stick.
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You can remove the bristle cone pines from the data set and the hockey stick disappears.
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If you use the correct data centering methodology, the hockey stick disappears.
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The whole field of climate prediction is fatally flawed because
most of the field uses the same data and methods - they are not independent.
Wegman: page 4: Our findings from this analysis suggest that authors in the area of paleoclimate studies are closely connected and thus “independent studies” may not be as independent as they might appear on the surface. (From: 07142006_Wegman_Report.pdf, page 4 Alternative source)
FACT: Water vapor is the major greenhouse gas, NOT CO2.
. . . the maximum supportable number for the importance of water vapour alone is about 60-70% and for water plus clouds 80-90% of the present day greenhouse effect. (Of course, using the same approach, the maximum supportable number for CO2 is 20-30%, (From: realclimate.org/index.php?p=142) (This web site run warming advocate)
A complete list of things caused by global warming
Acne, agricultural land increase, Afghan poppies destroyed, Africa devastated, Africa
in conflict, African aid threatened, African summer frost, aggressive weeds, air
pressure changes, airport malaria, Agulhas current, Alaska reshaped, moves, allergy
season longer, alligators in the Thames, Alps melting, Amazon a desert, American
dream end, amphibians breeding earlier (or not), anaphylactic reactions to bee
stings, ancient forests dramatically changed, animals head for the hills, animals
shrink, Antarctic grass flourishes, Antarctic ice grows, Antarctic ice shrinks, Antarctic
sea life at risk, anxiety treatment, algal blooms, archaeological sites threatened,
Arctic bogs melt, Arctic in bloom, Arctic ice free, Arctic ice melt faster, Arctic
lakes disappear, Arctic tundra to burn, Arctic warming (not), Atlantic less salty,
Atlantic more salty, atmospheric circulation modified, attack of the killer jellyfish,
avalanches reduced, avalanches increased, Baghdad snow, Bahrain under water, bananas
grow, barbarisation, beer shortage, beetle infestation, bet for $10,000
Click on the above to see the complete list (http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/warmlist.htm)
Sailing the Northwest Passage